Event Contracts
Kalshi’s Event Contracts give people the ability to trade based on their opinions about a specific yes-or-no question. For example, if you have student debt and are worried about relief not passing, you can purchase a contract and get a payout even if it doesn’t pass. If you’re worried about the economic fallout of the government shutting down, you can place a trade to hedge against it. If you’ve developed a model on inflation, you can profit from that and maybe even offset your rising costs. Event Contracts have an interesting side effect - the price that a given event contract trades at is actually the market’s assessment of the probability that the event will happen. Kalshi’s inflation and federal rate forecasts have been more accurate than economists, pundits, and traditional news outlets over the past year. Kalshi offers Event Contracts on a wide range of topics, including economics, culture, weather, scientific advancements, and traditional financial markets such as commodities, forex, S&P, and NASDAQ indices.Key Features
- CFTC Regulated: Kalshi is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as a Designated Contract Market (DCM)
- Event-Based Trading: Trade on the outcome of future events with Yes or No positions
- Broad Market Coverage: Event contracts on economics, politics, sports, culture, crypto, climate, health, and more
- Market Probability Assessment: Event contract prices reflect the market’s assessment of event probability
- Risk Hedging: Ability to hedge against everyday risks and economic events
- Election Trading: First fully regulated platform in over a century to offer legal election trading in the United States